Testimonials
"I am pleased to endorse Jared as an exceptionally talented forecaster. His first-place finishes in the 2021 and 2022 editions of the 'In the News' forecasting challenge—both by wide margins—speak for themselves. As a member of Samotsvety, Jared has been an engaging and informative conversation partner. Further, Jared has contributed to several forecasting projects that I have led at Samotsvety, consistently impressing me with his enthusiasm and ability to move fast."
— Misha Yagudin, Co-Founder of Arb Research & Samotsvety Forecasting
"Jared wrote the very first forecast for the inaugural issue of Asterisk Magazine. At the time, monkeypox was spreading rapidly in the United States, and so were a lot of hot takes on the virus. Jared’s piece cut through the noise by highlighting the key factors in predicting the spread of monkeypox. It also provided a self-reflective window into how forecasters revise their estimates as new data and information emerge."
— Jake Eaton, Managing Editor of Asterisk Magazine
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"I had the pleasure of working with Jared. At Alvea, we needed to forecast key variables related to pandemic preparedness to strengthen our investor pitch. Despite being on a tight schedule, Jared communicated his uncertainty and world model with clarity and precision. I would highly recommend Jared to any organization looking for a sharp, thoughtful, and reliable collaborator."
— Grigory Khimulya, CEO of Alvea
"Jared provided my firm with an intuitive and understandable introduction to critical thinking skills for my team of staff. He provided a great introduction to my group and presented it in terms that could be understood by new inductees to the process. His presentation was well-received, and we won’t hesitate to seek his help for creating and presenting content to us at our next seminar."
— Paul Bouchard, CEO of BPWood
"Working with Jared continues to be a real eye-opener with regard to what extent I can verifiably improve my forecasting competence. While I consider this an essential life skill, I work for a company that places premium value on best decision-making. As such, it is a real value contribution to myself and my company. Oh, did I mention how much fun the sessions are?"
— Benjamin Perlzweig, AWS
"Jared's forecasting efforts have been excellent, and he's been a valuable member of the Pro Forecasting team. He describes his reasoning clearly and with an eye for detail, and he works efficiently to meet deadlines. He actively participates in group discussions and engages with the reasoning of his teammates. I've been glad to have Jared on the team."
— Ryan Beck, Forecasting Program Coordinator at Metaculus